RUSSIAN FEDERATION IN THE CONDITIONS OF MULTIPOLAR TRANSIT
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17721/apmv.2018.138.0.71-83Abstract
The state of formation of a new system of world order and international relations is outlined. It was found out that there is a transition from post-bipolar to multi-polar world order. At the moment, the world is in a state of transit or transitive order, since the old world-system, which took shape after the end of the Cold War, went back to the past, while the new paradigm of the world order is the subject of uncertainty. The new world order, whose outline is more and more clearly distinguished by a distortion, is to be understood rather as a global mess that is a hallmark of the present stage of globalization. Under these circumstances, large, medium and small states are trying to find their place in the future of a multipolar world, which, according to the forecasts of most experts, will be multipolar. The United States is gradually moving away from its role as a world leader trying to focus ondomestic issues. Among the new centers of power are traditionally China, which is increasingly expanding its influence by expanding its economic presence in different regions through investments in industrial and infrastructure projects. The Russian Federation is compelled to seek a compromise from the West in the sense of recognizing its Russian sphere of strategic interests at the regional and partly global level in order to affirm the status of one of the centers of influence comparable in its power with the USA and China. A major geostrategic task for Russia is the return of the world to the realities of the twentieth century, or during the rhetoric of classical realism, which prevailed such categories as "zones of influence", "buffer zones", "balance of power", "balance of interests". It has been found that the resources available in Russia do not serve as a full-fledged geopolitical basis for designing global influence. That is why the Russian Federation has resorted to aggression and destabilization of the transitive world order in order to support controlled chaos in different directions.References
Alyeksyejchenko O.V. (2015) ‘Polityka Rosijs’koyi Federaciyi shhodo "zamorozhenyx" konfliktiv na postradyans’komu prostori’ [Russian Federation policy on "frozen" conflicts in the post-Soviet space]: avtoref. dys. ... kand. polit. nauk: 23.00.04, Kyiv, 26 s. 2. Voloshy’n O.A. (2012) ‘Mytnyj soyuz ta polityka regionalnogo liderstva Rosiyi na suchasnomu etapi’ [Customs Union and the policy of regional leadership of Russia at the present stage]. Naukovyj visnyk Dyplomatychnoyi akademiyi Ukrayiny 18: S. 65–70. 3. Garat R.M. (2012) ‘Vijs’kovo-politychna integraciya Spivdruzhnosti Nezalezhnyx Derzhav u kin. XX – na poch. XXI st.’: polityko-instytucijni aspekty [Military-political integration of the Commonwealth of Independent States in the end. XX – at the beginning XXI century: political and institutional aspects], Chernivci: Chernivecz’kyj nacz. un-t, 480 s. 4. Gvozdkov S. (2014) ‘Zony nestabil’nosti na terenax SND yak instrument realizaciyi geopolitychnyx cilej Rosiyi’ [Instability zones within the CIS as an instrument for realizing Russia’s geopolitical goals]. Naukovi zapysky TNPU im. V. Gnatyuka. Seriya: "Istoriya" 1 (3): S. 88–92. 5. Golczov A.G. (2018) ‘Geopolitychnyj vymir strategiyi Rosijs’koyi Federaciyi na postradyans’komu prostori’ [Geopolitical dimension of the Russian Federation strategy in the post-Soviet space], Kyiv: Centr uchbovoyi literatury, 392 s. 6. Gorbulin V. (2015, 23 sichnya) ‘"Gibrydna vijna" yak klyuchovyj instrument rosijs’koyi geostrategiyi revanshu’ [Putin’s Russia is doomed to confront the West and lose]. Dzerkalo tyzhnya. Available at: <http://gazeta.dt.ua/internal/gibridna-viyna-yak-klyuchoviy-instrument-rosiyskoyi-geostrategiyi-revanshu-_.html> 7. Gorbulin V. (2018, 13 kvitnya) ‘Putinska Rosiya pryrechena na protystoyannya iz Zaxodom ta progrash’ [Putin’s Russia is doomed to confront the West and lose]. Available at: <http://ksf.openukraine.org/ua/news/1488-volodimir-gorbulin-putinsyka-rosija-prirechena-na-protistojannya-iz-zahodom-ta-progrash> 8. Gorbulin V.P., Vlasyuk O.S., Kononenko S.V. (2015) ‘Ukrayina i Rosiya: dev’yatyj val chy kytajs’ka stina’ [Ukraine and Russia: the ninth shaft or the Chinese wall], Kyiv: NISD, 132 s. 9. Dedej V. (2016, 4 avgusta) ‘Plany Putina v Ukraine i Baltii’ [Putin’s plans in Ukraine and the Baltic]. Available at: <http://hyser.com.ua/politics/nastupleniya-do-vyborov-ne-budet-plany-putina-v-ukraine-i-baltii-dzherelo-fakty-ictv-ua-102444> 10. Doroshko M.S. (2013) ‘Prydnistrovs’kyj konflikt v Respublici Moldova: geopolitychnyj kontekst’ [Transnistrian conflict in the Republic of Moldova: geopolitical context]. Aktual’ni problemy mizhnarodnyx vidnosyn 114 (1): S. 3–10. 11. Dubov D.V. (2014) ‘Kiberprostir yak novyj vymir geopolitychnogo supernycztva’ [Cyberspace as a new dimension of geopolitical rivalry], Kyiv: NISD, 2014, 328 s.
Zhangozha R.N., Kuz’menko V. (2001) ‘Evroaziatskij transportnyj koridor: Ukraina i Rossija v sisteme mezhdunarodnyh otnoshenij: strategicheskaja perspektiva: monografіja’ [Eurasian transport corridor], Kiїv, S. 32–41.
Zelen’ko G.I. (2017) ‘Koncepciya "tret’oyi xvyli" demokratyzaciyi i postradyanskyj prostir. Osoblyvosti suspil’no-politychnoyi modernizaciyi krayin postradyans’kogo prostoru: monografiya’ [The concept of the "third wave" of democratization and post-Soviet space] / za red. A. Bul’vins’kogo. DU "Instytut vsesvitn’oyi istoriyi" NAN Ukrayiny, Kyiv: Vyd-vo "Feniks", S. 18–32. 14. Inozemcev V. (2002) ‘Rossija v sisteme mezhdunarodnyh otnoshenij ХХI veka’ [Russia in the system of international relations of the XXI century]. Mezhdunarodnaja zhizn’ 1/2: S. 67–81. 15. Kissindzher G. (1997) ‘Diplomatija’ [Diplomacy] / per. s angl. V. L’vova; poslesl. G. Arbatova, Moskva: Ladomir, 848 s.
Komu prinadlezhat nashi prirodnye bogatstva? (2014, 8 sentjabrja) [Who owns our natural wealth] Available at: <http://www.ohotniki.ru/hunting/societys/societys/article/2014/09/08/642259-komu-prinadlezhat-nashi-prirodnyie-bogatstva.html> 17. Kotkin S. (2016, 22 avgusta) ‘Vechnaja geopolitika Rossii’ [Eternal geopolitics of Russia]. Available at: <http://inosmi.ru/politic/20160822/237601288.html>
Kudors A. (2015, 17 aprelja) ‘"Russkij mir" – ot koncepcii "mjagkoj sily" do obosnovanija vojny’ ["Russian world" – from the concept of" soft power "to the justification of the war]. Available at: <http://inosmi.ru/sngbaltia/20150417/227571026.html#ixzz3XysjH8km> 19. Levyk B. (2012) ‘Vijs’kova bezpeka postradyans’kyx respublik 1991–2011 rr’ [Military Security of the Post-Soviet Republics 1991–2011]. L’viv: Vyd-vo NU "L’vivs’ka politexnika", 380 s. 20. Losiev I. (2015, 10 sichnia) ‘Horbachov, Yeltsyn i nashi iliuzii’ [Gorbachev, Yeltsin and our illusions]. Den’.
Mel’nychuk I.M. (2015) ‘Integracijni proekty Rosijs’koyi Federaciyi na postradyans’komu prostori: monografiya’ [Integration projects of the Russian Federation on the post-Soviet space: a monograph], Chernivci: Chernivecz’kyj nacz. un-t, 400 s.
Ozhevan M.A. (2016) ‘Neoimpers’ka "doktryna Putina" ta "ukrayins’ka kryza" v ocinkax zaxidnyx ekspertiv’ [Neo-Imperial "Putin’s Doctrine" and "Ukrainian Crisis" in Western experts' assessments]. Regional’ni strategiyi SShA i Yevropy: zovnishn’opolitychnyj i bezpekovyj vymir: monografiya. Kyiv: Centr vil’noyi presy, S. 489–506.
Paraxons’kyj B.O. (2001) ‘Strategichni interesy Ukrayiny v krayinax Chornomors’kogo regionu ta problemy nacional’noyi bezpeky: monografiya’ [Strategic interests of Ukraine in the countries of the Black Sea region and the problems of national security: monograph], Ky’yiv: NISD, 134 s.
Putin V.V. (2012) ‘S sovremennoj Rossiej vygodnee druzhit’ i nadezhno sotrudnichat’ [It is more profitable to be friends and cooperate with modern Russia]. Rossija v global’nom mire 2000–2011: hrestomat.: v 6 t.’, Moskva: Aspekt press, T. 1, S. 43–49.
Rezhym Putina pered vyklykamy chasu: analit. dop. (2017) [Mode Putіna before wikliki hour: analіtics report] / M.M. Rozumnyj, I.V. Valyushko, R.V. Vlasenko ta in.; za zag. red. M.M. Rozumnogo. Kyiv: NISD, 84 s.
Rossija hochet poluchit’ jekvivalent Jaltinskogo soglashenija (2015, 10 ijunja) [Russia wants to get the equivalent of the Yalta Agreement]. Available at: <https://lenta.ru/articles/2015/06/10/stent> 27. Solzhenicyn A. (1990) ‘Kak nam obustroit’ Rossiju’ [How do we equip Russia]. Available at: <http://www.lib.ru/PROZA/SOLZHENICYN/s_kak_1990.txt>
Stent A. (2015) ‘Pochemu Amerika i Rossija ne slyshat drug druga? Vzgljad Vashingtona na novejshuju istoriju rossijsko-amerikanskih otnoshenij’ [Why America and Russia do not hear each other? Washington's view on the recent history of Russian-American relations] / per. s angl. E. Lalajan, Moskva: Mann, Ivanov i Feber, S. 363–365.29. Strashnyj "Prognoz sobytij XXI veka" nachinaet sbyvatsja (2015, 4 dekabrja) [The terrible "Forecast of events of the XXI century" begins to come true]. Available at: <https://ru.insider.pro/opinion/2015-12-04/strashnyi-prognoz-sobytii-xxi-veka-nachinaet-sbyvatsia>
Trenin D. (2015, 13 maja) ‘Ot Bol’shoj Evropy k Bol’shoj Azii? Kitajsko-rossijskaja Antanta’ [From Greater Europe to Greater Asia? Chinese-Russian Entente]. Available at: <http://carnegie.ru/2015/05/13/ru-60066/i8ho?mkt_tok=3RkMMJWWfF9wsRojua%2FOZKXonjHpfsX67e4kUKOg38431UFwdcjKPmjr1YcISst0a.>
Xyzhnyak I.A. (2018) ‘Vid "naviky razom" do "omnes et singulos" (razom i okremo). Ukrayina u systemnomu protystoyanni globalnyx polyusiv syly: monografiya’ [From "forever together" to "omnes et singulos" (together and separately). Ukraine in the systemic confrontation of the global forces poles: a monograph], Kyiv: Samit-Knyga, 416 s. 32. Chekalenko L. (2013) ‘Integracijnyj proekt: Soyuzna derzhava Rosiyi ta Bilorusi’ [Integration project: Union state of Russia and Belarus]. Zovnishni spravy 4: S. 40–43. 33. Kondratenko O.Yu. (2016) ‘Ukraine as a geopolitical priority of the Russian Federation’. Historia i Polityka, No 16 (23), Р. 101–113.