EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES AND THE GLOBAL SOUTH IN CONTEMPORARY INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17721/apmv.2026.166.1.4-13Abstract
Abstract. The spread of artificial intelligence (AI) systems is already reshaping how states interact in an increasingly multipolar international environment. It puts additional pressure on traditional multilateral formats, encourages great powers to rely on narrower, selective coalitions, and creates openings for countries of the Global South to advance their own agendas. For Ukraine, which operates under wartime constraints, this dynamic is directly linked to balancing security needs and external cooperation. The article examines how the diffusion of AI is changing the principles and practical rules that structure interstate behaviour, and what opportunities this creates for coordinated initiatives by Global South countries aimed at supporting political stability in the international order. The study relies on targeted qualitative content analysis of leading policy reports and academic publications from 2024–2025, structured comparison of the positions of major powers and groups of Global South states, and elements of process tracing using examples from AI policy. AI is emerging as an independent driver of rule change in international relations. Instead of slow-moving universal regimes, we increasingly observe a layered architecture: a minimal set of shared global signposts, more detailed regional regulatory solutions, and selective coalitions of states that adopt compatible standards. The Global South does not act as a single bloc, but specific states are able to propose practical standards for transparency, accountability and interoperability with relatively low coordination costs. For Ukraine, an effective approach is a “security–cooperation” strategy: joining focused coalitions in AI-related areas that matter for defence, resilience and productivity, while insisting on transparency, accountability and technical interoperability in order to avoid asymmetric dependencies.
References:
Andersson, J. J. (2023). Building weapons together (or not): How to strengthen the European defence industry. European Union Institute for Security Studies. https://www.iss.europa.eu/publications/briefs/building-weapons-together-or-not-how-strengthen-european-defence-industry
Bloomberg. (2023, November 10). EU says highly unlikely it will meet ammunition pledge to Ukraine. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-10/eu-says-highly-unlikely-it-will-meet-ammo-pledge-to-ukraine
Borrell, J. (n.d.). Last night train to Kyiv. European External Action Service. https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/last-night-train-kyiv_en
Consolidated version of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. (2016). Article 346. Official Journal of the European Union. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/treaty/tfeu_2016/art_346/oj/eng
Council Regulation (EU) 2025/1106 of 27 May 2025 establishing the Security Action for Europe (SAFE). (2025). Official Journal of the European Union. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2025/1106/oj/eng
Davymuka, О. О. (2022). Ukhvalennia “Stratehichnoho kompasu” Yevropeiskoho Soiuzu [Adoption of the EU Strategic Compass]. National Institute for Strategic Studies. Center for Foreign Research Studies. https://niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2022-04/evropeyskiy_kompas.pdf [in Ukrainian].
de Cordoue, B. (2025). White Paper: What prospects for a European armament policy? Jacques Delors Institute. https://institutdelors.eu/en/publications/white-paper-what-prospects-for-a-european-armament-policy/
Directive 2009/81/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 July 2009 on defence and security procurement. (2009). Official Journal of the European Union. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2009/81/oj/eng
European Commission. (2023). EU Defence Industry Reinforcement Through Common Procurement Act (EDIRPA). https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/eu-budget/performance-and-reporting/programme-performance-statements/eu-defence-industry-reinforcement-through-common-procurement-act-edirpa_en
European Commission. (2024, March 5). A new European Defence Industrial Strategy: Achieving EU readiness through a responsive and resilient European Defence Industry. Brussels. https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/document/download/643c4a00-0da9-4768-83cd-a5628f5c3063_en?filename=EDIS%20Joint%20Communication.pdf
European Commission. (2025, March 4). Press statement by President von der Leyen on the defence package. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/STATEMENT_25_673
European Commission. (2025, October 16). Preserving peace – Defence Readiness Roadmap 2030. Brussels. https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/document/download/9db42c04-15c2-42e1-8364-60afb0073e68_en?filename=Joint-Communication%20_Defence-Readiness-Roadmap-2030.pdf
European Commission. (n.d.). Multiannual Financial Framework 2021-2027 (in commitments) - Current prices. https://commission.europa.eu/document/download/31a0d09a-2548-49b8-8d85-d6342ad76d29_en?filename=mff_2021-2027_breakdown_current_prices.pdf
European Commission. (n.d.). The European Defence Fund in detail. https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/eu-defence-industry/european-defence-fund-edf-official-webpage-european-commission_en
European Commission. (n.d.). White Paper for European Defence – Readiness 2030. https://commission.europa.eu/document/download/e6d5db69-e0ab-4bec-9dc0-3867b4373019_en
European Council. (n.d.). European defence industry programme. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/defence-industry-programme/
European Council. (n.d.). European Peace Facility (EPF). https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/european-peace-facility/
European Defence Agency. (2021). Defence data 2019–2020: Key findings and analysis. https://www.edrmagazine.eu/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/EDA-2020-Defence-Data.pdf
European External Action Service. (2022). A Strategic Compass for Security and Defence. https://www.eeas.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/strategic_compass_en3_web.pdf
European External Action Service. (2024, March). Annual Progress Report on the Implementation of the Strategic Compass for Security and Defence. Report of the High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy to the Council. https://www.eeas.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/2024/StrategicCompass_2ndYear_Report_0.pdf
European Parliament Members Research Service. (2025, May 7). EU Member States’ defence budgets. https://epthinktank.eu/2025/05/07/eu-member-states-defence-budgets/
Financial Times. (2025, November 16). Berlin and Paris discuss scrapping joint fighter to focus on air ‘combat cloud’. https://www.ft.com/content/e0cc4893-d1c3-45a4-9e3e-d35cedd4b46d
Government of Germany. (2022, February 27). Policy statement by Olaf Scholz, Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany and Member of the German Bundestag. https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-en/service/archive/policy-statement-by-olaf-scholz-chancellor-of-the-federal-republic-of-germany-and-member-of-the-german-bundestag-27-february-2022-in-berlin-2008378
Keystone Procurement. (2023). Key elements of EU defence procurement. https://keystoneprocurement.ie/eu-defence-procurement
Kobets, Y., & Holubiak, N. (2023). Defense and security policy of the European Union: Contradictions of transformation. The Scientific and Theoretical Almanac “Grani”, 26(5), 19–25. https://doi.org/10.15421/172396
Kozioł, A. (2024). War in Ukraine boosts Europe’s defence industry. The Polish Institute of International Affairs. https://pism.pl/publications/war-in-ukraine-boosts-europes-defence-industry
Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Latvia. (n.d.). Draft budgetary plan of the Republic of Latvia 2026. https://www.fm.gov.lv/en/media/23336/download?attachment
Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Lithuania. (2025, October 16). Government approved the draft State budget for 2026. https://www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-english/19/2716517/lithuanian-government-approves-2026-draft-budget-with-record-defence-spending
Maulny, J.-P. (2023). The impact of the war in Ukraine on the European defence market. Policy paper. https://www.iris-france.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/19_ProgEuropeIndusDef_JPMaulny.pdf
Myroniuk, A., & Yegoshyna, V. (2024). EU shell-production capacity: Supplies to Ukraine fall far short of promises. Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty. https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-weapons-shells-european-union-eu-war-russia-investigation/33025300.html
NewsDesk. (n.d.). Germany plans to more than double military spending aiming for NATO target by 2029. https://news.ssbcrack.com/germany-plans-to-more-than-double-military-spending-aiming-for-nato-target-by-2029/
Notes from Poland. (2025, August 29). Poland plans record defence spending of 4.8% GDP in 2026 budget along with lower deficit. https://notesfrompoland.com/2025/08/29/poland-plans-record-defence-spending-of-4-8-gdp-in-2026-budget-along-with-lower-deficit/
Orlyk, V. (2025). Bila knyha z pytan yevropeiskoi oborony – Hotovnist 2030 [White Paper for European Defence – Readiness 2030: Plan for the development of the European defence potential]. National Institute for Strategic Studies. Center for Foreign Research Studies. https://niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2025-03/az_bila-kniga-es_240325.pdf [in Ukrainian].
PESCO Secretariat. (2025, September). PESCO projects’ progress report. https://eda.europa.eu/docs/default-source/pesco-files/2025-pesco-projects-progress-report_public-release-updated.pdf
Permanent Structured Cooperation. (n.d.). About PESCO. https://www.pesco.europa.eu/about/
Politico. (2025, June 19). Spain wants exemption from NATO’s 5 percent defense spending target. https://www.politico.eu/article/spain-nato-summit-5-percent-defense-spending-target-perdo-sanchez-military-donald-trump/
Regulation (EU) 2023/1525 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20 July 2023 on supporting ammunition production (ASAP). (2023). Official Journal of the European Union. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/1525/oj/eng
Reuters. (2023, March 20). EU seals plan to send a million artillery shells to Ukraine. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-agrees-plan-send-million-artillery-shells-ukraine-2023-03-20/
Reuters. (2025, July 13). France’s Macron announces plan to accelerate military spending. https://www.reuters.com/world/frances-macron-announces-plan-accelerate-military-spending-2025-07-13/
Scazzieri, L. (2025). Towards an EU “Defence Union”. Centre for European Reform. https://www.cer.eu/sites/default/files/pb_LS_defence_union_29.1.25.pdf
Statista. (n.d.). Annual military defense expenditure in the European Union from 2005 to 2023, by member state. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1395834/eu-military-expenditure-by-country/
Tardy, T., & Ostanina, S. (2024). Turbo-charging the EU’s defence industry and security posture. Policy brief. Hertie School, Jacques Delors Centre. https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/turbo-charging-the-eus-defence-industry-and-security-posture
Treaty of Lisbon amending the Treaty on European Union and the Treaty establishing the European Community. (2007). Official Journal of the European Union. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/treaty/lis/sign/eng
Vittek, A. (2025). What does EU joint procurement in defence really mean? European Relations. https://europeanrelations.com/joint-procurement-in-defense-is-on-the-agenda-in-brussels-but-what-does-it-really-mean/
Received: 03.01.26 / Revised: 28.01.26 / Accepted: 18.03.26 / Published:30.03.26





