SECURITY CHALLENGES AND THREATS FOR CENTRAL ASIAN STATES IN LIGHT OF THE RUSSIAN ANNEXATION OF CRIMEA IN 2014

Authors

  • І. Мінгазутдінов Ph.D. (History), Associate Professor, Deputy Dean for Research and Education
  • Г. Мінгазутдінова Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17721/apmv.2017.130.0.13-23

Abstract

The article examines the position of the governments of Central Asian states upon the Crimea annexation by Russia in 2014. It as well analyses top challenges and threats to the region’s security within the framework of Russia’s expansive policy. Basic instruments of influence of Russia and China on Central Asia in early XXIst century have been investigated. For Russia, the levers of influence have been represented by military bases located in three out of five countries of the region, as well as weapon transfers to support the states’ armies and the Russian-speaking minorities residing in Central Asia. In its turn, China strengthened its positions in the region throughout importing oil and gas resources, raising investments and proposing profitable economic collaboration. It is determined that the events of 2014 shall have notable impact on the balance of powers in the region of Central Asia. In particular, Russia’s desire to spread its influence on its traditional sphere of interests, i.e. on Central Asia, resulted in deepening cooperation between Central Asia and basic Russian competitors – China and the USA, as well as in developing Central Asia’s collaboration with the North Atlantic Alliance.

Thus, China has laid a course for driving Russia out of the Central Asian market of oil and gas, and region’s cooperation with the USA and NATO has been enhanced.

Author Biographies

  • І. Мінгазутдінов, Ph.D. (History), Associate Professor, Deputy Dean for Research and Education
    Institute of International Relations of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv
  • Г. Мінгазутдінова, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv
    Scolar in History, History Faculty Research Department

References

Список використаних джерел

Константинова В. Україна і Центральна Азія: чи є можливості для українського бізнесу? [Електронний ресурс] – Режим доступу: http://blog.liga.net/user/vkonstantinova/article/23171.aspx (дата звернення: 18 грудня 2016 р.).

Кунадзе Г. После Грузии и Украины. Кто следующий? (Часть вторая) [Електронний ресурс] – Режим доступу: http://glavcom.ua/columns/georgiykunadze/129006-poslegruzii-i-ukrainy.-kto-sledujushchij-chast-vtoraja.html (дата звернення: 18 грудня 2016 р.).

Поліщук Н. Реакція країн світу на військову агресію РФ в Україні [Електронний ресурс] – Режим доступу: http://infolight.org.ua/content/reakciya-krayin-svitu-na-viysvkovuagresiyu-rf-v-ukrayini (дата звернення: 18 грудня 2016 р.).

Blank, Stephen. What Crimea Teaches Central Asia [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://thediplomat.com/2014/05/what-crimea-teaches-central-asia (Last access: October 28, 2015).

Brletich, Samantha. The Crimea Model: Will Russia Annex the Northern Region of Kazakhstan? [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.moderndiplomacy.eu/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=420:the-crimea-model-will-russia-annex-the-northern-region-of-kazakhstan&Itemid=481 (Last Access: December 19, 2016).

Horak, Slavomir. Russia's Intervention in Ukraine Reverberates in Central Asia / S. Horak // Central Asia – Caucasus Analyst. – BI – Weekly Briefing. – Vol. 16. – No. 6. – 19 March 2014. – P. 9-12.

Kucera, Joshua. North Kazakhstan isn’t the next Crimea — yet [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2014/6/19/north-kazakhstanisntthenextcrimeaayet.html (Last Access: December 18, 2016).

Peyrouse, Sebastien. 2008. The Russian minority in Central Asia: Migration, politics, and language. Occasional paper #297. Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. – 28 p.

Razma, Ainis. The Geopolitics of Central Asia after the Annexation of Crimea in 2014 /A. Razma // Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review. – 2014-2015. – Volume 13. – P. 125-143.

Sadykov, Murat. Central Asian Leaders Cautious After Russia Annexes Crimea [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68187 (Last access: November 5, 2015).

Satke, Ryskeldi, Galdini, Franco. How is the Ukrainian crisis affecting Central Asia? [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2014/06/ukraine-crisis-central-asia-201466124720172220.html (Last access: February 28, 2016).

Stobdan, Phunchok. Post-Crimea: Central Asian Fear Putin’s Stick [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.idsa.in/idsacomments/PostCrimeaCentralAsianFearPutins-Stick_pstobdan_040814 (Last access: February 17, 2016).

Tolipov, Farkhod. Ukraine and the CIS Perspective: Implications for Central Asia [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: https://www.cacianalyst.org/publications/analyticalarticles/item/12949-ukraine-and-the-cis-perspective-implications-for-central-asia.html (Last access: December 17, 2016).

Trilling, David. If Crimea Sanctions Bite Russia, Central Asia Will Feel the Pain [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68168 (Last access: December 17, 2016).

Zasztowt, Konrad. The Kremlin’s Strategy in Central Asia after the Ukraine Crisis / K. Zasztowt // Bulletin, No. 74 (669). – 27 May 2014. – Polski Instytut Spraw Miedzynarodowych. – 2 p.

Центральна Азія почала вагатися з приводу Євразійського союзу [Електронний ресурс] – Режим доступу: http://geostrategy.ua/node/766 (дата звернення: 19 грудня 2016 р.).

Aleksander Solzhenitsyn on the New Russia [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.forbes.com/2008/08/05/solzhenitsyn-forbes-interview-oped-cx_pm_0804russia.html (Last access: September 13, 2015).

Russian Moves Unsettle Neighbours in Central Asia and Caucasus [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: https://www.ft.com/content/909655f2-b366-11e3-b891-00144feabdc0 (Last Access: December 19, 2016).

Russian Roulette. Events in Ukraine point up local rulers’ frailties – and they know it [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21599048-events-ukraine-point-up-local-rulers-frailtiesand-they-know-it-russian-roulette (Last access: October 3, 2015).

US to stress support for Central Asia after Crimea annexation [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.worldbulletin.net/eurasian-union/132325/us-to-stress-support-forcentral-asia-after-crimea-annexation (Last access: December 19, 2016).

References

Кonstantynova V. Ukraina і Tsentral’na Aziya: Chy Ye Mozhlyvosti Dlya Ukrainskoho Biznesy? [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://blog.liga.net/user/vkonstantinova/article/23171.aspx (Last Access: December 18, 2016).

Kunadze G. Posle Gruzii i Ukrainy. Kto Sledyiuschiy? (Chast’ Vtoraya) [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://glavcom.ua/columns/georgiykunadze/129006-posle-gruziii-ukrainy.-kto-sledujushchij-chast-vtoraja.html (Last Access: December 18, 2016).

Polischuk N. Reaktsiya Krain Svitu Na Viyskovu Agresiyu RF v Ukraini [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://infolight.org.ua/content/reakciya-krayin-svitu-na-viysvkovu-agresiyu-rf-v-ukrayini (Last Access: December 18, 2016).

Blank, Stephen. What Crimea Teaches Central Asia [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://thediplomat.com/2014/05/what-crimea-teaches-central-asia (Last access: October 28, 2015).

Brletich, Samantha. The Crimea Model: Will Russia Annex the Northern Region of Kazakhstan? [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.moderndiplomacy.eu/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=420:the-crimea-model-will-russia-annex-the-northern-region-of-kazakhstan&Itemid=481 (Last Access: December 19, 2016).

Horak, Slavomir. Russia's Intervention in Ukraine Reverberates in Central Asia / S. Horak // Central Asia – Caucasus Analyst. – BI – Weekly Briefing. – Vol. 16. – No. 6. – 19 March 2014. – P. 9-12.

Kucera, Joshua. North Kazakhstan isn’t the next Crimea — yet [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2014/6/19/north-kazakhstanisntthenextcrimeaayet.html (Last Access: December 18, 2016).

Peyrouse, Sebastien. 2008. The Russian minority in Central Asia: Migration, politics, and language. Occasional paper #297. Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. – 28 p.

Razma, Ainis. The Geopolitics of Central Asia after the Annexation of Crimea in 2014 / A. Razma // Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review. – 2014 – 2015. – Volume 13. – P. 125-143.

Sadykov, Murat. Central Asian Leaders Cautious After Russia Annexes Crimea [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68187 (Last access: November 5, 2015).

Satke, Ryskeldi, Galdini, Franco. How is the Ukrainian crisis affecting Central Asia? [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2014/06/ukraine-crisis-central-asia-201466124720172220.html (Last access: February 28, 2016).

Stobdan, Phunchok. Post-Crimea: Central Asian Fear Putin’s Stick [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.idsa.in/idsacomments/PostCrimeaCentralAsianFearPutins-Stick_pstobdan_040814 (Last access: February 17, 2016).

Tolipov, Farkhod. Ukraine and the CIS Perspective: Implications for Central Asia [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: https://www.cacianalyst.org/publications/analyticalarticles/item/12949-ukraine-and-the-cis-perspective-implications-for-central-asia.html (Last access: December 17, 2016).

Trilling, David. If Crimea Sanctions Bite Russia, Central Asia Will Feel the Pain [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68168 (Last access: December 17, 2016).

Zasztowt, Konrad. The Kremlin’s Strategy in Central Asia after the Ukraine Crisis / K. Zasztowt // Bulletin, No. 74 (669). – 27 May 2014. – Polski Instytut Spraw Miedzynarodowych. – 2 p.

Центральна Азія почала вагатися з приводу Євразійського союзу [Електронний ресурс] – Режим доступу: http://geostrategy.ua/node/766 (дата звернення: 19 грудня 2016 р.).

Aleksander Solzhenitsyn on the New Russia [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.forbes.com/2008/08/05/solzhenitsyn-forbes-interview-oped-cx_pm_0804russia.html (Last access: September 13, 2015).

Russian Moves Unsettle Neighbours in Central Asia and Caucasus [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: https://www.ft.com/content/909655f2-b366-11e3-b891-00144feabdc0 (Last Access: December 19, 2016).

Russian Roulette. Events in Ukraine point up local rulers’ frailties – and they know it [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21599048-events-ukraine-point-up-local-rulers-frailtiesand-they-know-it-russian-roulette (Last access: October 3, 2015).

US to stress support for Central Asia after Crimea annexation [Electronic Resource] – Mode of Access: http://www.worldbulletin.net/eurasian-union/132325/us-to-stress-support-forcentral-asia-after-crimea-annexation (Last access: December 19, 2016).

Published

2017-05-18